Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-23 0.006338 0.007089 0.007906 0.008864 0.009958 0.011172 0.012625
2025-03-02 0.005182 0.006216 0.007436 0.008990 0.010932 0.013295 0.016414
2025-03-09 0.004464 0.005602 0.007018 0.008927 0.011460 0.014745 0.019391
2025-03-16 0.003838 0.004987 0.006475 0.008571 0.011488 0.015471 0.021432
2025-03-23 0.003466 0.004642 0.006219 0.008529 0.011885 0.016685 0.024254
2025-03-30 0.003300 0.004546 0.006275 0.008903 0.012884 0.018843 0.028735
2025-04-06 0.002972 0.004188 0.005921 0.008632 0.012881 0.019482 0.030917
2025-04-13 0.002705 0.003889 0.005619 0.008401 0.012897 0.020126 0.033165
2025-04-20 0.002528 0.003707 0.005471 0.008384 0.013238 0.021318 0.036492
2025-04-27 0.002441 0.003652 0.005508 0.008657 0.014075 0.023426 0.041755
2025-05-04 0.002295 0.003492 0.005366 0.008621 0.014376 0.024623 0.045484
2025-05-11 0.002184 0.003379 0.005286 0.008677 0.014837 0.026155 0.050084
2025-05-18 0.002038 0.003203 0.005099 0.008545 0.014972 0.027149 0.053874
2025-05-25 0.001947 0.003112 0.005048 0.008653 0.015572 0.029127 0.060138
2025-06-01 0.001836 0.002980 0.004914 0.008593 0.015837 0.030464 0.065217
2025-06-08 0.001691 0.002778 0.004643 0.008252 0.015509 0.030532 0.067364
2025-06-15 0.001606 0.002673 0.004536 0.008212 0.015782 0.031905 0.072894
2025-06-22 0.001585 0.002680 0.004630 0.008570 0.016918 0.035323 0.084232
2025-06-29 0.001480 0.002530 0.004424 0.008311 0.016708 0.035663 0.087595
2025-07-06 0.001389 0.002399 0.004244 0.008090 0.016557 0.036118 0.091364
2025-07-13 0.001330 0.002324 0.004167 0.008074 0.016861 0.037703 0.098648
2025-07-20 0.001309 0.002318 0.004220 0.008335 0.017828 0.041061 0.111893
2025-07-27 0.001255 0.002246 0.004138 0.008300 0.018096 0.042681 0.120222